Believe the NBA Odds
As the NBA stands right now, there are as everyone knows, a few elite teams that likely will, in some combination, make it to the NBA finals to battle it out for the title. We’ll take a look at some odds in a second, but a general rule of advice for the NBA.
Believe those odds.
This isn’t college basketball betting, where it’s one and done, there’s tons of young, raw emotion fueling underdog Cinderella teams into the Sweet 16.
This isn’t the NFL, where talent is spread more evenly, there’s more parity and…you guessed it…on any given Sunday….
And this sure as hell isn’t nascar betting. It’s just not.
My point is, there’s less drama than you’d think in the NBA odds, and with every series being a seven-game series, there are fewer surprises and upsets than in every other major sport. There’s a reason why only the Knicks and Nuggets have, once each, emerged from the eighth seed to see the second round. There’s a reason less than 10 teams have every come back from an 0-2 deficit in a seven-game series to win it (hello Chicago Bulls). It’s because the great teams have more than enough window of error to squeeze through any round, and because home court advantage has its biggest influence in basketball.
So, when you see the Celtics at 5/2 and Lakers at 7/4 to win the title, they’re the teams you probably want to gamble online on. When it comes to sports betting, I’m an advocate for safer bets that’ll yield less money. Just like in the casino, the odds are against you no matter what, but how you reduce those odds to work as much in your favor as possible is what’ll separate you from the losers. You can keep your parlays, you can keep your Superbowl squares and you can keep your long shot, hail Mary bets (say, for instance, the Toronto Raptors at a cool 2,000 to 1).
Remember, the NBA Betting odds makers know more than you do. If you know that, you’ve already got a leg up on the competition. Never gamble with your heart or your gut, always gamble with your brain. You might not win that once-in-a-lifetime big-money score, but you also probably won’t lose EVERY other time you throw down a wager.
For this year’s teams, especially where we stand now, I’d give consideration to the Spurs at 8/1 and the Cavs at 11/4. Everything else is a sucker’s bet, especially with so many strong teams this year. There’s no way an underdog is cutting through all of them to take the ring.